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World of Statistics  
   
 
Course - Statistical Analysis in the Lexis Diagram: Age-Period-Cohort Models
 
  • Dr. Bendix Carstensen
    Steno Diabetes Center, Gentofte, Denmark; Department of Biostatistics, University of Copenhagen
  • Faculty of Medical Sciences - New University of Lisbon
  • Segunda-feira, 19 de Setembro de 2011 a Quarta-feira, 21 de Setembro de 2011
 FCT

  

Statistical Analysis in the Lexis Diagram
 AGE-PERIOD-COHORT MODELS

APCM Course

 

Faculty of Medical Sciences - New University of Lisbon

Faculdade de Ciências Médicas – Universidade Nova de Lisboa

Lisboa - Portugal
  
 
19th – 21st September 2011
  
 
 
Bendix Carstensen
BxC, Senior Statistician, Steno Diabetes Center, Gentofte, Denmark
External Lecturer Department of Biostatistics, University of Copenhagen
 
 
 
Aim of the Course

 
The course will give a fairly thorough introduction to follow-up data at the individual level and in particular how these are transformed into tabular data. This is the fundamental prerequisite for understanding the structure of tabular follow-up data (counts/person-years) and the use of APC-models for this type of data.
     The so-called identifiability problem in APC-models will be rigorously shown to be a parametrization problem, and various options for necessary assumptions will be treated, and the basic mathematics (linear algebra) for dealing with them will be covered.
     All will be illustrated thoroughly with examples.
 
Program Structure

 
19th Sept
 
Morning Session: 9:15 - 12:30
(Coffee Break: 10:30 - 10:50)     
-   Overview of follow-up data.
-     Likelihood for follow-up data. Poisson likelihood. Relation to Cox partial likelihood.
-     Lexis diagrams. Tabular data in the Lexis diagram. Lexis triangles.
 
Lunch: 12:30 - 14:00
 
Morning Session: 14:00 - 17:30
(Coffee Break: 15:30 - 15:50)   
-   Poisson models for tabular data.
-     Splines and other parametric smoothers.
-     Relation to factor models.
 
20th Sept
 
Morning Session: 9:15 - 12:30
(Coffee Break: 10:30 - 10:50)
- Age-Period and Age-Cohort models and their parametrization.
 
Lunch: 12:30 - 14:00
 
Morning Session: 14:00 - 17:30
(Coffee Break: 15:30 - 15:50)   
-   Age-Period-Cohort model.
-     The identifiability problem, projections and subspaces.
 
21st Sept
Morning Session: 9:15 - 12:30
(Coffee Break: 10:30 - 10:50)
-   APC-models for different outcomes.
-     APC-models for different groups.
 
Lunch: 12:30 - 14:00
 
Morning Session: 14:00 - 17:30
(Coffee Break: 15:30 - 15:50)   
-   Reporting APC-models; tabular and graphical representation.
-     APC-models for prevalence and other types of data.
-     Evaluation and wrap-up.
 
 
 
Course Fee

 
Course fee is 380 Euros
 
The registration fee will cover documentation. The Organization will provide coffee breaks and 3 days lunch.
 
 
Registration

 
Registrations should be submitted until September 1, 2011, through the following online form.

Participants will be admitted on a first-come first-serve basis: the first 20 people signing up and paying the registration fee will be accepted. 

The course will open under a minimum number of 14 participants.

The number of participants, members of CEAUL, is limited to 4.

 
 
  
Important Notes

 
-         Participants are NOT requested to bring their own laptop, but if so, please install R previously.
-        In order to receive a certification, participants are required to attend a minimum of 5 parts (over 6) of the course.
 
 
Venue and Accommodation

 
The conference venue is the Faculty of Medical Sciences - New University of Lisbon (www.fcm.unl.pt/main).
 
A participant intending to book a room a hotel with special rates for APCM Course should contact the organizers (Lisete Sousa - lmsousa@fc.ul.pt).
 
Payment

 
After acceptance, payment should be made within two weeks and can be done according to one of the following procedures:.

National Bank Transfer 

Banco BES
Conta nº 0840 1919 0000
NIB: 0007 0084 00019190000 12
Descrição: “Participant’s Name”, APCM Course
 
 
International Bank Transfer 
 
Account holder: Fundação da Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa
Account number: 0840 1919 0000
IBAN: PT50 0007 0084 0001 9190 0001 2
SWIFT CODE: BESCPTPL (In case extra digits are required you may write "X")
Bank name: BES – Banco Espírito Santo
Bank address: DMI - Av. Da Liberdade, nº 195, 1250-142 Lisboa
Reference: “Participant’s Name”, APCM Course
 
APCM Course and your name should be clearly mentioned in the form of the bank transfer. Payments with missing information may not be considered. Transfer confirmation must be sent by e-mail to (Margarida Silva).

 

Cheque (in Euros)

 
Cheques should be made out to "FUNDACAO FCUL" and sent to
 
APCM Course
Centro de Estatística e Aplicações da Universidade de Lisboa
Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa
Bloco C6 - Piso 4, Campo Grande
1749-016 LISBOA
Portugal
 
 
Notes:
 
All payments should be in Euros.
 
The total amount of the fee should be credited to the conference organizer in one payment. Transfer expenses should be paid by you.
 
 

 Contacts


 
Course Contents
Ana Luísa Papoila (ana.papoila@fcm.unl.pt)
+351 21 880 3052
Registration
Lisete Sousa (lmsousa@fc.ul.pt)
+351 21 750 0235
Payments
Margarida Silva (ceaul@fc.ul.pt)
Lisete Sousa (lmsousa@fc.ul.pt) : during August 1-27
+351 21 750 0120
 

 


 

     
 
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