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World of Statistics  

Maria Antónia Amaral Turkman
Doutora em Probabilidades e Estatística (University of Sheffield)

Prof. Catedrático
Departamento de Estatística e Investigação Operacional
Faculdade de Ciências
Universidade de Lisboa
Campo Grande, 1749-016 Lisboa, Portugal

Maria Antónia Amaral Turkman
  • Habilitation degree in Applied Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, 1989
  • Equivalence to the degree "Doutor em Ciências", Probability and Statistics, University of Lisbon, 1981.
  • Ph.D. in Statistics, University of Sheffield, U.K., 1980
  • Master of Science in Statistics, University of Sheffield, U.K., 1977
  • Lic., Applied Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, 1971
  • Bayesian Methodology
  • Bayesian Hierarchical Models in Environmental Sciences
  • Statistics in Genomics
  • Statistics in Medicine
  • Statistical Epidemiology
  • Foundations of Statistics
Other Professional Activities:
  • Coordinator of the Center of Statistics and Applications (CEAUL) 1 August 2009-31 December 2016
  • Co-editor of REVSTAT (
Courses Lectured:
Most recent publications:
  • Amaral Turkman, M.A and Paulino, C.D. (2015) Estatística Bayesiana Computacional – uma introdução. Edições SPE, INE Lisboa.
  • Sá, Ana, Turkman, M.A.A. and Pereira, J.M.C. (2018) Exploring fire incidence in Portugal using Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape (GAMLSS). Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, 4, 1-22.

  • Pereira JMC, Oom D, Pereira P, Turkman AA, Turkman, KF (2015) Religious Affiliation Modulates Weekly Cycles of Cropland Burning in Sub-Saharan Africa. PLOS one. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0139189. Published 29/09/2015
  • Pereira Júnior Alfredo C., Sofia L. J. Oliveira, José M. C. Pereira, Maria Antónia Amaral Turkman. (2014). Modelling Fire Frequency in a Cerrado Savanna Protected Area. PLOS ONE, Published: July 23, 2014 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0102380.
  • Papoila A.L., Riebler A., Amaral Turkman, M. A., São João R., Ribeiro C., Geraldes C. and Miranda A. (2014) Stomach cancer incidence in Southern Portugal 1998-2006: a spatio-temporal analysis. Biometrical Journal; 5 6(3): 403-15. doi: 10.1002/bimj.201200264.
Other relevant publications:
  • de Carvalho Mamede, Turkman Antónia, Pinto Susana, Swash Michael (2016). Modulation of fasciculation frequency in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery and Psychiatry, 87:226-228 doi:10.1136/jnnp-2014-309686

  • Turkman, K.F., Amaral Turkman, M.A., Pereira,P. Sa, A., and Pereira, J.(2014) Generating annual fire risk maps using Bayesian hierarchical models. Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice. 8:3, 509-533 DOI:10.1080/15598608.2013.820158

  • Oliveira Sofia L. J., Turkman M. A. Amaral, Pereira José M. C. (2013) An analysis of fire frequency in tropical savannas of northern Australia, using a satellite-based fire atlas. International Journal of Wildland Fire 22, 479–492.
  • Pereira P., K. F. Turkman, M.A. Amaral Turkman, A. Sa and J. M.C. Pereira (2013) Quantification of annual wildfire risk; A spatio-temporal point process approach. Statistica, 73, 55-68.

  • Dutra Medeiros M, Mesquita E, Gardete-Correia L, Moita J, Genro V, Papoila AL, Amaral-Turkman A, Raposo JF (2015). First Incidence and Progression Study for Diabetic Retinopathy in Portugal, the RETINODIAB Study: Evaluation of the Screening Program for Lisbon Region. Ophthalmology. 2015 Sep 14. pii: S0161-6420(15)00781-2. doi: 10.1016/j.ophtha.2015.08.004. [Epub ahead of print]


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